Monday, March 5, 2007

Masking the teams

Without looking up the teams, tell me how you would rank them

Team A
Record - 21-9
Last 10 - 3-7
RPI - 34
Road - 6-5
Vs. Top 50 RPI - 6-8
Vs. Top 100 RPI - 9-8
SOS - 46
Non-Con SOS - 213
Top 25 Wins: None
Below 100 RPI Losses: #124

Team B
Record - 24-8
Last 10 - 9-1
RPI - 39
Road - 8-5
Vs. Top 50 RPI - 3-2
Vs. Top 100 RPI - 6-5
SOS - 90
Non-Con SOS - 31
Top 25 Wins: #17
Below 100 RPI Losses: #106, #301, #126

Team C
Record - 19-10
Last 10 - 5-5
RPI - 31
Road - 5-6
Vs. Top 50 RPI - 7-7
Vs. Top 100 RPI - 8-9
SOS - 11
Non-Con SOS - 50
Top 25 Wins: #10, #22
Below 100 RPI Losses: #218

Team D
Record - 20-10
Last 10 - 7-3
RPI - 47
Road - 2-8
Vs. Top 50 RPI - 4-6
Vs. Top 100 RPI - 8-8
SOS - 48
Non-Con SOS - 83
Top 25 Wins: #22, #23
Below 100 RPI Losses:#137, #178

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

I'd rank them C,D,A,B... although "Last 10" would really help as well.

Evilmonkeycma said...

Last 10 is added, as is Non-Con SOS

Also, could you add a few notes about your reasoning?

Anonymous said...

B - Only one of these teams with a winning record against the top 50. They are on a hot run through their final 10

C - Mainly rewarding their strength of schedule, but they are even against a good sampling of the top 50. The two top 25 wins make me feel better about them too.

D - Now I'm just rewarding quality wins. Those two top 25 wins combined with the good run in the last 10 give me enough to look past this team's RPI. Of course, all of these RPI's are pretty close anyway.

A - Their recent slump, no top 25 wins, and that non-conf SOS have turned me against this team. Had they made their schedule a little bit more difficult, I'd buy them, but for now they are my fourth place.

That all said, all of these profiles have their strengths and weaknesses.

Anonymous said...

Why is Texas an 8 on your latest bracket? When everyone else puts them around 5, or some even 3.

Evilmonkeycma said...

Addressing Texas:
Only 1 Top 25 RPI Win
RPI: 30
Road Record: 6-5
Top 50 Record: 4-5
Top 100 Record: 8-8
SOS: 60

Although this is not terrible, it is only a little bit better than the teams masked. The only thing that works in Texas' favor is the lack of bad losses.
Furthermore, I now compare teams to each other individually and create a ladder of teams. Texas is, in my opinion, not as impressive as Winthrop. However, if Texas does well in the Big 12 tourney, I expect them to rise.