Sunday, March 16, 2008

16 Hours until the Selection Show

Its almost that time again. Some quick thoughts:
UCLA, UNC, and Memphis are all but assured of one seeds. The bubble starts at Arizona St. – that is, I would not be overly surprised to see any of them out. As I said yesterday, if Virginia Tech is competitive against UNC, they’ll get in. They did so – just one problem. Because of the way the bubble teams played, VT is the last team in. If either Georgia or Illinois wins their respective tournaments, then VT is out again, unless I change my mind and swap out Ohio St. instead. If both UGA and UI win, then both Ohio St. and Virginia Tech are out. No questions asked.
Texas and Kansas will be 4 and 5 overall, with the winner getting the 4 and the loser getting the 5. Besides this, the Southland championship, and the aforementioned scenarios involving Illinois, Georgia, VT, and OSU, nothing should change. If Texas, Wisconsin, Arkansas, and Northwestern St. all win, this will be my final seed list.
Kentucky fans have to be in serious pain. I mean, all they had to do was not lose against bad teams, and they’d be golden. And they lost to the worst team in the SEC. Sheesh. Arkansas fans do not have to have similar worries, since Sunday championships have very little impact on the bracket. And to all those Arkansas fans out there – I’m paying attention. I maintain that they were out before the Vandy win, an 11 before the Tennessee win, and are now a 9.
My bracket will be coming out shortly. I just need to make sure there are no conflicts.
Italics now mean that the conference has NOT had their championship yet.

EDIT: After much deliberation, I decided to swap Illinois St and South Alabama. Also, I decided this about the conference tourneys: If Georgia wins, they replace VT. If Illinois wins, they replace Ohio St. If Texas-KU goes to overtime, Texas gets the 1 seed.
1: UCLA, North Carolina, Memphis, Texas
2: Kansas, Tennessee, Duke, Georgetown
3: Louisville, Wisconsin, Stanford, Marquette
4: Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Xavier, Notre Dame
5: Drake, Butler, Washington St., Clemson
6: Southern Cal, West Virginia, Vanderbilt, Indiana
7: Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Purdue, Michigan St.
8: Gonzaga, Davidson, Arizona St., Arizona
9: Oregon, Arkansas, Kansas St., Baylor
10: Miami (FL), BYU, Mississippi St., Villanova
11: St. Mary’s, South Alabama, Ohio St., Virginia Tech
12: UNLV, Kent St., Temple, San Diego
13: George Mason, Oral Roberts, Western Kentucky, Winthrop
14: Siena, Cornell, Boise St., Cal-State Fullerton
15: Portland St, UMBC, Belmont, Austin Peay
16: American, Northwestern ST., Coppin St., Mt. St. Mary’s, Mississippi Valley St.
All Possible Others: Kentucky, South Alabama, St. Joseph’s, Massachusetts, Dayton, Nebraska, Syracuse, VCU
New Teams In: Temple, Boise St, Coppin St, Virginia Tech, UNLV
Old Teams Out: St. Joe’s, New Mexico St, Morgan St, Kentucky, Illinois St.
Conference Breakdown:
8: Big East
7: Pac-10
6: Big XII
5: Big 10, ACC
4: SEC
3: WCC
2: MWC, Sun Belt, A-10

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